{"id":1406,"date":"2025-08-21T11:45:59","date_gmt":"2025-08-21T11:45:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=1406"},"modified":"2025-08-23T19:26:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-23T19:26:00","slug":"niy%c9%99-ilk-qolu-vuran-komandanin-q%c9%99l%c9%99b%c9%99-ehtimali-artir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=1406","title":{"rendered":"Niy\u0259 ilk qolu vuran komandan\u0131n q\u0259l\u0259b\u0259 ehtimal\u0131 art\u0131r?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Futbolda <strong>&ldquo;ilk qolu vuran komandan&#305;n q&#601;l&#601;b&#601; ehtimal&#305;&rdquo;<\/strong> fenomeni h&#601;m statistik, h&#601;m d&#601; taktiki-psixoloji bax&#305;mdan olduqca maraql&#305; bir m&ouml;vzudur. G&#601;lin bunu &uuml;mumi &#351;&#601;kild&#601; izah edim, sonra is&#601; konkret n&uuml;mun&#601;y&#601; &ndash; <strong>2014 D&uuml;nya &Ccedil;empionat&#305;nda &#304;ngilt&#601;r&#601;nin Uruqvaya qar&#351;&#305; m&#601;&#287;lubiyy&#601;tin&#601;<\/strong> toxunaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Statistik &uuml;st&uuml;nl&uuml;k<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>M&uuml;xt&#601;lif t&#601;dqiqatlar g&ouml;st&#601;rir ki, futbol oyunlar&#305;nda <strong>ilk qolu vuran komanda 60&ndash;80 %<\/strong> aras&#305; hallarda oyunu qazanar. M&#601;s&#601;l&#601;n:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>&Ccedil;in Super Liqas&#305;nda bu g&ouml;st&#601;rici <strong>66.3 % q&#601;l&#601;b&#601;<\/strong>, &uuml;mumilikd&#601; is&#601; <strong>87 % xal itkisi olmadan (qalib v&#601; ya he&ccedil;-he&ccedil;&#601;)<\/strong> dem&#601;kdir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>UEFA Avro v&#601; D&uuml;nya &Ccedil;empionatlar&#305;nda bu ehtimal t&#601;xmin&#601;n 78.5 %-dir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bir Medium analizi is&#601; g&ouml;st&#601;rir ki, &uuml;mumilikd&#601; ilk qolu vuran komanda <strong>69 % qazan&#305;r<\/strong>, <strong>19 % he&ccedil;-he&ccedil;&#601;<\/strong>, <strong>11 % itirir<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu, futbolun a&#351;a&#287;&#305; qollu bir oyun olmas&#305;n&#305; n&#601;z&#601;r&#601; ald&#305;qda anlaml&#305;d&#305;r: ilk qol sonras&#305; qalan zaman qradual m&uuml;dafi&#601;y&#601; v&#601; oyunun idar&#601; edilm&#601;sin&#601; y&ouml;n&#601;lir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Taktiki v&#601; psixoloji faktorlar<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Taktiki d&#601;yi&#351;iklik<\/strong>: &#304;lk qolu vuran komanda ad&#601;t&#601;n ritmi &ouml;z xeyrin&#601; y&ouml;nl&#601;ndirm&#601;k &uuml;&ccedil;&uuml;n daha ehtiyatl&#305; v&#601; m&uuml;dafi&#601;y&ouml;n&uuml;ml&uuml; oynama&#287;a ba&#351;lay&#305;r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Psixoloji &uuml;st&uuml;nl&uuml;k<\/strong>: Qol vurmaq komandan&#305;n ruh y&uuml;ks&#601;kliyini art&#305;r&#305;r, &#601;ksin&#601;, r&#601;qibin psixologiyas&#305; &ccedil;&#601;tinl&#601;&#351;ir &ndash; stress v&#601; s&#305;x&#305;nt&#305; art&#305;r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N&uuml;mun&#601;: <strong>2014 D&uuml;nya &Ccedil;empionat&#305;, &#304;ngilt&#601;r&#601; &ndash; Uruqvay<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"internal-linking-related-contents\"><a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=1738\" class=\"template-2\"><span class=\"cta\">&#399;trafl&#305; oxu<\/span><span class=\"postTitle\">Niy&#601; ba&#351; m&#601;&#351;q&ccedil;il&#601;r komandas&#305; uduzdu&#287;u halda &ccedil;ox &#601;v&#601;zetm&#601; etmir?<\/span><\/a><\/div><p>Bu qar&#351;&#305;la&#351;ma buna &ccedil;ox g&ouml;z&#601;l n&uuml;mun&#601; t&#601;&#351;kil edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Uruqvay<\/strong> mat&ccedil;&#305;n 39-cu d&#601;qiq&#601;sind&#601; <strong>Luis Suarez<\/strong>in ba&#351;la vurdu&#287;u qol il&#601; hesab&#305; a&ccedil;&#305;r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>&#304;ngilt&#601;r&#601; mat&ccedil;&#305;n ortalar&#305;nda <strong>Rooney<\/strong> il&#601; hesab&#305; b&#601;rab&#601;rl&#601;&#351;dirir (75-ci d&#601;qiq&#601;). Bu, onun d&uuml;nya &ccedil;empionat&#305;ndak&#305; ilk qolu idi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lakin <strong>85-ci d&#601;qiq&#601;d&#601; yenid&#601;n Suarez f&#601;rql&#601;nir<\/strong> v&#601; Uruqvaya 2:1 q&#601;l&#601;b&#601; qazand&#305;r&#305;r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>N&#601;tic&#601;<\/strong>: Uruqvay&#305;n ilk qolu mat&ccedil;&#305;n gedi&#351;at&#305;na qrafiki formada t&#601;sir etdi. &#304;ngilt&#601;r&#601; cavabla &uuml;mid do&#287;ursa da, mat&ccedil;&#305;n sonlar&#305;nda t&#601;zyiq&#601; d&ouml;z&#601; bilm&#601;di v&#601; n&#601;tic&#601; Uruqvay &uuml;&ccedil;&uuml;n q&#601;l&#601;b&#601; oldu. Buna g&ouml;r&#601; d&#601;, ilk qolu vuran komanda real olaraq oyun &uuml;z&#601;rind&#601; &uuml;st&uuml;nl&uuml;k &#601;ld&#601; edir &ndash; qazanma ehtimal&#305; &#601;n az 60&ndash;70 % civar&#305;ndad&#305;r. Psixoloji v&#601; taktiki d&#601;yi&#351;iklikl&#601;r: H&#601;min qol komandaya s&#601;rb&#601;stlik, r&#601;qib&#601; is&#601; psixoloji basq&#305; yarad&#305;r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"ays-arp-under-posts-container ays-arp-grid-layout \" id=\"ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220\" data-id=\"6a072105f3220\" data-ratio=\"1\"><h2 class=\"ays-arp-under-posts-container-title\">Bunlar da maraql&#305;d&#305;r<\/h2><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"ays-arp-id-6a072105f3220\" value=\"1406\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-posts\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-header\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img-row\"><a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=2120\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-link\"><img src=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/656789_azbetsport_com-768x462.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img\"><img src=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/656789_azbetsport_com-768x462.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img ays-arp-under-post-img-mobile\"><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-content\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-title-row\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=2120\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-link\">Niy&#601; b&#601;zi derbil&#601;rd&#601; &ldquo;Qar&#351;&#305;l&#305;ql&#305; qol var&rdquo; se&ccedil;imi...<\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-excerpt-row\"><span class=\"ays-arp-under-post-excerpt\">\nDerbi oyunlar&#305; h&#601;mi&#351;&#601; g&#601;rgin ke&ccedil;ir. Amma h&#601;r g&#601;rgin mat&ccedil; bolqollu...<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-footer\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-header\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img-row\"><a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=1457\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-link\"><img src=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_8654.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img\"><img src=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_8654.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img ays-arp-under-post-img-mobile\"><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-content\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-title-row\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=1457\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-link\">&ldquo;Topu doqquzlu&#287;a g&ouml;nd&#601;rm&#601;k&rdquo; n&#601; dem&#601;kdir?<\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-excerpt-row\"><span class=\"ays-arp-under-post-excerpt\">\nFutbol jarqonunda &ldquo;doqquzluq&rdquo; qap&#305;n&#305;n yuxar&#305; k&uuml;ncl&#601;rini ifad&#601; edir. Y&#601;ni qap&#305;n&#305;n...<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-footer\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-header\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img-row\"><a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=1506\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-link\"><img src=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/azbetsport_757.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img\"><img src=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/azbetsport_757.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-img ays-arp-under-post-img-mobile\"><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-content\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-title-row\"><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?p=1506\" class=\"ays-arp-under-post-link\">Qumar insan&#305; sevgilisind&#601;n soyuda bil&#601;rmi?<\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-excerpt-row\"><span class=\"ays-arp-under-post-excerpt\">\nQumar v&#601; m&#601;rc as&#305;l&#305;l&#305;&#287;&#305; yaln&#305;z maliyy&#601; itkisi il&#601; &ouml;l&ccedil;&uuml;lm&uuml;r. Onun...<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"ays-arp-under-post-footer\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><style type=\"text\/css\">\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 {\n                width: 100%;\n                word-break: break-word;\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post {\n                width: calc(33% - 10px);\n                overflow: hidden;\n                padding: 10px;\n                border: none;\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-img-row .ays-arp-under-post-img {\n\t\t\t    object-fit: contain;\n\t\t\t    object-position:center center;\n                border: unset;\n                padding: unset;\n                border-radius: 0px;\n                height: 100%\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-posts-container-title,\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-title  .ays-arp-under-post-link,\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-excerpt-row {\n                color: #333333;\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220  .ays-arp-under-posts  .ays-arp-under-post {\n                background-color: rgba(255,255,255,0);\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220  .ays-arp-under-posts  .ays-arp-under-post:hover {\n                background-color: rgba(255,255,255,0);\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-title,\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-link {\n                line-height: 1.5;\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-title a{\n                font-size: 16px;\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-date-author-row {\n                color: rgba(51,51,51,0.7);\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-posts a:active,\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-posts a:hover,\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-posts a:focus,\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-posts a {\n                text-decoration: unset;\n                cursor: pointer;\n                outline: unset;\n                text-decoration-skip-ink: none;\n                background: unset;\n                opacity: 1;\n            }\n\n            #ays-arp-under-posts-container-1406-6a072105f3220 .ays-arp-under-post-img-row .ays-arp-under-post-img.ays-arp-under-post-img-mobile {\n                display: none; 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ehtimal&#305;&rdquo; fenomeni h&#601;m statistik, h&#601;m d&#601; taktiki-psixoloji bax&#305;mdan olduqca<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1407,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tovsiylr"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678.png",1156,706,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678-300x183.png",300,183,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678-768x469.png",640,391,true],"large":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678-1024x625.png",640,391,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678.png",1156,706,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678.png",1156,706,false],"chromenews-featured":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678-1024x625.png",1024,625,true],"chromenews-large":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678-825x575.png",825,575,true],"chromenews-medium":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678-590x410.png",590,410,true],"yarpp-thumbnail":["https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/azbetsport_5345678.png",120,73,false]},"author_info":{"info":["mammedli.nurlan@gmail.com"]},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/?cat=1\" rel=\"category\">T\u00f6vsiy\u0259l\u0259r<\/a>","tag_info":"T\u00f6vsiy\u0259l\u0259r","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1406","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1406"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1406\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1408,"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1406\/revisions\/1408"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1407"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/azbetsport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}